Three major election models - New York Times, Washington Post, and FiveThirtyEight - now show that the Republicans are favored to win the Senate majority in the upcoming midterm election, according to the Washington Post.
"As of today then, all three models agree that Republicans are slight favorites to win the Senate majority," said the Washington Post. "The Post's Election Lab is the most bullish (65 percent probability of a Republican majority) while the Times LEO model pegs the chance at 55 percent and Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight puts it at a shade under 55 percent."
And of all the elections, Grover Norquist of Human Events says the most important race in America is that of Kansas Governor Sam Brownback.
Brownback has led two successful strategic campaigns, wrote Norquist on Monday, and these campaigns "can be repeated in the other states that have a Republican governor and a Republican legislature."
"His model, if followed in other states, can change the nation," said Norquist.
Norquist says that those states combined have more than half the nation's population, and their electoral votes could elect a president.
First on the Brownback plan-of-action is to transform state legislatures into a Reagan Republican. It's essential, Norquist says, to commit to lower spending, lower taxes, tort reform, and school choice by "primarying 13 Republican senators who vote with the teacher unions, trial lawyers, and big spending special interests."
Republican governors can easily campaign against liberal Democrat legislators who oppose their agenda, according to Norquist. "That is expected."
But instead of risking a demise brought forth by "moderate" Republican legislators serving special interests, or Republican senators "bowing to union pressure," Reagan Republicans considering reforms should consider taking one from the Brownback playbook.
"Brownback worked with the Kansas Chamber of Commerce to run primary campaigns against the 13 anti-reform Republicans in his state senate including the state senate president," said Norquist. "Two decided not to run for re-election, and nine of the remaining eleven were defeated in the GOP primary, while the conservative challenger went on to win in the general."
Upon winning a Reagan Republican majority in the senate, Brownback was able to introduce his proposal to phase out the state's personal and corporate income taxes, said Norquist, adding that this would not have been possible if he didn't first eliminate the majority of special interest-controlled "moderate" opponents.
And now, there is a law on the Kansas books stating that all additional revenue earned above a two percent increase is to be used to "permanently reduce the state personal income tax."
After tax reductions are enacted, personal income tax rates will fall every year until they hit zero, claims Norquist. "Then the corporate income tax rate will be reduced to zero," along with the banking tax.
States that follow this plan will be able to "fund necessary government expenses out o the revenues from growth over time and use those to replace the personal and business income tax," said Norquist, concluding, "If Sam Brownback wins in November watch for more governors who have his courage to challenge anti-reform Republicans in primaries and to phase out their state income taxes."
