While the US Presidential Elections is ongoing, the political influence of swing states is still in the works.
Many residents are putting their maximum efforts to choose for the President their country deserves. And while the race has hit its final phase, Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump ramped up the process of their debates to glean as much political backing as they can.
As per the election analysis platform, Hilary Clinton holds a relatively higher chance of about 3.5 percent over Donald Trump. Her chances of winning the Electoral College have significantly risen up to 69 percent after losing ground to the secret email controversy.
In terms of Florida, Hilary Clinton is considered 51 percent favorite but still has a 17 percent chance of tipping election. Meanwhile, in North Carolina, Clinton is considered 51 percent favorite and has an 11 percent chance of tipping election.
Florida and North Carolina can possibly steer the future trajectory of the US Presidential Elections.
Since these two states have fluctuating demographics and an early voting system, analysts can easily get a sneak peek from the conclusion drawn from North Carolina and Florida as they close and count their votes early.
As far as Pennsylvania and Michigan are concerned, Hilary Clinton is 76 and 79 percent favorite whereas in both swing states she has an 11 percent chance of tipping election. Pennsylvania is one of the few swing states without early voting, thus, allowing a campaign to come to the conclusion at a later date. Michigan, meanwhile, has an unusually large number of undecided voters and has a rough history of bad polling. As far as upper Midwest is concerned, Clinton has a 3 to 4 percent worse chance than the preceding Democratic nominee Barack Obama, thus, adding to one of the reasons why Trump has fair chances of winning than Mitt Romney.
Despite all the notable fluctuations, the recent swing state polls show Trump's narrow path to the White House a bit more dangerous. As mentioned above, a Quinnipiac poll conducted on the eve of the election has allowed Clinton to have an upper hand in Florida, whereas North Carolina looks more Trump, according to a survey conducted by the New York Times.
However, these polls can easily divert their ways as Trump would need to have an upper hand in both Florida and North Carolina to gain the way to the Presidency.
Trump would have to make his way to Florida because of the higher number of Latino voters . Michigan has also observed a 5 percent point lead for Clinton according to Mitchell Research.
According to a Columbus Dispatch poll, Clinton once again is in the lead in Ohio by a single point. Ohio has a history of voting for the winning candidate since 1964 and this time Trump would have to steer Ohio for the republican side if hoping for Presidency.
Nevada is clamoring for Trump. Last week the CNN/ORC poll showed trump having an upper hand by 6 percentage, but this state is still a topic of concern as early voting numbers can allow Clinton to be more suitable to be the President.
The CNN/ORC showed Trump improving his lead to 5 percent in the state of Arizona. This state has always been a Republican, but due to the rise in the number of Latino voters, Trump's current political standing might be jeopardized as in Florida and Nevada.
