Experts estimate that in a dispute for Taiwan, China would likely destroy 900 US fighter jets with devastating missile assaults.
They said that Beijing could annihilate half of the US Navy and Air Force in a couple of days. Military specialists have been conducting war scenario training to plan how China would attack Taiwan.
Expert Predict US Will Struggle To Carry Out China's Defenses
Analysis said Chinese missiles drowned a substantial portion of the US and Japanese surface fleets and killed hundreds of aircraft on the ground in 18 of the 22 rounds played thus far. As per Mark Cancian, a retired US marine and former White House military expert, the West's reprisal will smash the vulnerable Chinese amphibious and surface fleet and eventually sink 150 ships.
As reported by Bloomberg, Cancian stated that the US would struggle to carry out a systematic effort to knock down Chinese defenses and would need to move in close to sink them. None of the drills included the use of nuclear weapons or the scenario of China successfully occupying Taiwan. The bleak outlook comes as tensions between the two countries are near a breaking point following a visit to the island by top US legislator Nancy Pelosi, the third in line to the presidency.
China has never been bashful in admitting its desire to capture Taiwan, which has strong US support. While Beijing may be planning for a lightning strike across the Taiwan Strait to seize the island, many believe the conflict would be everything but swift.
According to the most recent virtual war games conducted by the White House and think tank the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), it would be "costly" for both sides for the US to intervene militarily in a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in 2026. For weeks, US generals, Navy commanders, and retired Pentagon officials have assembled around tables that simulate an invasion. They maneuver opposing armies in blue and red, as well as little wooden squares, over maps of the Western Pacific and Taiwan.
It discovered that Beijing's missile strike force would be deadly for as long as the inventory lasted. According to experts, US submarines and bombers equipped with long-range missiles will be crucial in destroying Chinese forces. Cancian stated that anti-ship missiles were critical to Taiwanese triumph and cautioned that Taipei vessels would struggle to survive as long as the Chinese had long-range missiles.
Experts are unsure how many lives will be killed in the fight or what effect it will have on the global economy. It comes as security specialists say that China would require two million soldiers to invade Taiwan and would likely fail, similar to Vladimir Putin's forces in Ukraine.
Massive war exercises are being held across the island by Communist Party soldiers, which are thought to be preparations for an invasion. Ian Williams, a China specialist, writing in The Sunday Times, said: "[Ukraine] has demonstrated how a determined underdog can thwart the ambitions of a much larger and more powerful rival, and it is being studied on both sides of the Taiwan Strait."
Over the previous week, Beijing has sent warships, aircraft, and missiles, virtually encircling the island in a siege. This is a militarized tantrum, and such a display of power does not imply a successful or simple invasion, according to Williams.
China Completes Large-Scale Military Exercises Near Taiwan
Taiwan has accused China of conducting open attack rehearsals on the island while Beijing's state-controlled media has lauded the drills as preparation for the "reunification operation." It's a terrifying echo of Putin's rhetoric before his invasion of Ukraine when Russia referred to their assault as a special operation.
The fundamental distinction between Taiwan and Ukraine is that the former is an island, requiring any enemy forces to deploy by amphibious landing or huge airdrop, as per The Sun. China's recently ended large-scale military drills in the vicinity of Taiwan included at least a dozen missile launches that landed in locations surrounding the self-ruled island state.
The roughly dozen Chinese missiles fired during the drills to protest House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's recent visit to Taipei bracketed the island, according to Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl.
Taiwan's Defense Ministry announced on Twitter Tuesday that 10 People's Liberation Army warships and 45 warplanes were spotted surrounding the island, triggering replies from interceptor aircraft and naval vessels as well as the activation of land-based missiles. The number of warships stayed the same on Wednesday, but the number of warplanes was reduced to 36, including Su-30 and J-11 fighters, Washington Times reported.
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