The three individuals most likely to be sworn in as president on January 20, 2025, have significant flaws, as highlighted by a recent JL Partners poll, with little positive news to soften the impact.
Americans are getting a clear look at the alternatives the Republican Party will present to the re-election of President Joe Biden, who was the oldest president ever to take office in 2021, now that the Republican primary is in full gear.
Trump vs. Biden vs. DeSantis
According to the survey, the leading GOP candidates, former President Donald Trump, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, must surmount debilitating labels to gain ground with the general election audience.
Per The Independent, voters were most likely to use the word "criminal" to describe Trump; others were even less complimentary, including "disgusting," "liar," "evil," and "hazardous" (though "patriot" also appeared in the top 10).
The Florida governor arguably fared worse. The top two adjectives electors used to describe DeSantis were "fascist" and "unsure," with the latter possibly indicating a lack of familiarity with his political record or name recognition.
And while Biden performs better than either of his potential challengers, the incumbent president remains tethered to concerns about his age, which dominated the minds of the majority of voters asked to describe him in a single word.
The poll results indicated that Americans are mainly dissatisfied with their leadership options for the next five years. Certainly, these three candidates are not the only ones in the race, but no other Republican is currently polling at a statistically significant level, and Biden's party is extremely unlikely to support a primary challenge against an incumbent president.
Concerns about Biden's age and Obama's health care record are likely to be among the types of attacks voters can anticipate in the event of a general election, as indicated by a poll.
If the general election were held tomorrow, President Joe Biden would defeat his Republican opponent, regardless of who it is. However, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis would run him closer than former President Donald Trump, according to a new national DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners poll.
2024 Presidential Election
Yet, with 17 months remaining, there is still everything to play for, as Biden trails among independents, and the data indicate an agonizingly close campaign.
The poll of 1,000 probable general election voters revealed that in a matchup between Biden and DeSantis, the Democratic candidate would receive 44% of the vote to DeSantis's 43%.
In an election against Trump, Democratic voters appeared more motivated, giving Biden a lead of 46 percent to the former president's 44 percent. Mike Pence, the former vice president who entered the race last week, received 38% to Joe Biden's 41%, while Trump ally-turned-enemy Chris Christie received 32% to Biden's 39%.
Trump is the undisputed Republican primary frontrunner. Polling averages give him a 30-point advantage over DeSantis, with Pence trailing far behind. Supporters of the other candidates worry that if Trump wins the nomination, his legal troubles and polarizing demeanor will turn off general election voters, allowing Biden to retain the White House.
In a head-to-head matchup with Trump, Biden won independent voters by a margin of five percent, while other Republicans performed better. DeSantis has a five percent advantage over the president among individuals who do not identify as Republican or Democrat.
The parcel may contain Pence. He may encounter hostility from Trump supporters who believe he did not do enough to keep their hero in office and ire from Democrats who view him as a vice president who enabled the former president's worst excesses.
Pence launched his campaign in Iowa, where he believes his message will resonate with evangelical Christian voters, who comprise a significant portion of the Republican electorate in the state.
Chris Christie, who entered the campaign the same week as Pence, may confront the most difficult path of all candidates. He launched his campaign in New Hampshire, hoping that his reputation on the center-right would appeal to the state's generally more moderate Republican voters.
Our survey found that, of the four candidates, Republican voters were least enthusiastic about the former New Jersey governor. Only 60% of Republicans indicated they would support him in an election against Biden.
Pence can rely on 72%, DeSantis on 84%, and Trump's hold on the GOP is unmistakable, with 90% of Republicans saying they would coalesce behind him if he were the nominee.