Biden, Trump Race: Who is Leading in Key Battleground States Polling?

United States President Joe Biden is trailing Republican businessman Donald Trump in nearly all key battleground states polling ahead of the 2024 presidential elections.

The two presidential hopefuls are seen as the front runners in their respective primaries, and they could face each other in a rematch for the nation's highest position next year. The Democratic lawmaker is suffering from enormous doubts regarding his age and deep dissatisfaction over his handling of the economy.

Potential Biden and Trump Rematch

The results of the latest polling show Biden losing to Trump by margins of four to 10 percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. The only key battleground state that the president is ahead of his likely opponent is in Wisconsin, where he leads by two percentage points.

All six battleground states were carried by Biden in 2020, but he is now trailing by an average of 48% to 44%. Discontent among voters over Biden continues to grow as many argue that the president's policies have personally hurt them, as per the New York Times.

The survey also showed the extent to which the multi-racial and multi-generational coalition that elected Biden is slowly fraying. The Demographic groups that supported Biden by large margins in 2020 have now become more closely contested. Two-thirds of the electorate see the nation moving in the wrong direction.

Voters under 30 favor Biden only by a single percentage point, as his lead among Hispanic voters is down to single digits. Furthermore, the Democrat's advantage in urban areas is half Trump's edge in rural regions.

While female voters still favor Biden, male voters preferred Trump by twice as large a margin, which shows a reversal in the gender advantage that had fueled so many Democratic gains in recent years.

Presidential Elections

The former United States president's lead in the polls comes despite the considerable legal challenges he is currently facing. Trump faces 91 criminal charges across four different indictments, and he has pleaded not guilty to all of them, according to CNN.

In a statement, Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz downplayed the polling results and said that predictions more than a year before the election tend to look slightly different a year later. He noted that the president's campaign is hard at work reaching and mobilizing its diverse, winning coalition of voters.

One voter from Pennsylvania who supported Biden in 2020 has shifted in favor of Trump and said that the world is falling apart under the current president's leadership. He added that he would prefer to see someone he feels can be a positive role model leader for the United States.

The relatively tepid support for the former president among young and non-white voters raises the potential that many voters who are fueling his gains might not vote in the 2024 elections. This comes as nearly all of Biden's weakness is concentrated among less engaged voters who sat out the last midterm election, said the New York Times.