Nvidia Shares Plummet After Rough Outlook From AI Competitor

AMD raised its 2024 revenue target for MI300 to $4 billion, up from $3.5 billion.

Nvidia's Stock Price Hits Record High, As Analysts Increase Their Outlook On The Company
SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 05: A sign is posted at Nvidia headquarters on February 05, 2024 in Santa Clara, California. Shares of Nvidia stock hit record highs on Monday after analysts increased their outlook on company. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

On Wednesday, Nvidia (NVDA) stock fell after rival AI chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) disappointed investors with its halfhearted guidance. After quarterly AMD and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) reports, semiconductor stocks took a bath overall.

AMD met Wall Street's first-quarter profits target late Tuesday, although sales were slightly below expectations. The company's revenue forecast for the current quarter aligned with projections, although Wall Street had expected a bigger boost from its MI300 AI accelerator business.

AMD increased its revenue goal for the MI300 in 2024 from $3.5 billion to "at least $4 billion." However, Wall Street was hoping for fresh estimates for the product, estimated to be worth between $4.5 billion and $5 billion.

Some optimistic forecasts were targeting a goal of over $6 billion in MI300 sales this year.

Following AMD's Q1 release, at least 12 Wall Street analysts lowered their price targets for the company's shares. AMD's shares fell 8.9% on the stock market today, closing at 144.27. The stock of Nvidia fell 3.9% to 830.41.

Evercore ISI analyst Mark Lipacis said that concerns about MI300 sales are "overdone."

In a client note, Lipacis said that their investment thesis is that the AI chip market will grow to an $80 billion market over the next five years and that AMD will capture up to 20% of that market. He noted they did not hear anything on the (AMD) call that moved them away from that thesis.

Amidst semiconductor stocks, Skyworks, a manufacturer of wireless chips, posted a modest beat for the March quarter but gave significantly lower guidance for the June quarter. Skyworks is heavily exposed to the declining smartphone market.

Skyworks' stock fell 15.3% on Wednesday, closing at 90.30.

Meanwhile, there was a 3.5% decline in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, or SOX. The top 30 semiconductor stocks traded in the US are included in the SOX.

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Nvidia, AI
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