Although Democrat Presidential Candidate Hillary Clinton is gaining ground weeks before the US polls, the margin to win remains within striking distance for Republican Nominee Donald Trump. The probability that this will be a toe-for-toe tussle is likely to happen.
The Trump camp is anticipating victories in Arizona, Utah, Texas, Georgia and other traditionally pro-Republican states. However, these are not enough to guarantee an election victory which is why the billionaire businessman's campaign is leaning on its ads to make a difference.
An estimated $25 million in television commercials have been spent to engage voters in Nevada, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Maine, New Mexico, Florida and Colorado.
Trump needs 270 electoral votes to become the next US President. The Republican bet's luck will hit the ceiling if Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa and Florida are in the bag. The inclusion of Maine's Second Congressional District in the list gives Trump a solid 260 ballots.
According to Trump's Deputy Campaign Manager David Bossie, winning those four states will put the Republican block in position to win.
Setting the tone in larger areas like Wisconsin, Michigan, Virginia and Pennsylvania will give Trump a commanding lead. However, there is a need to win at least a couple of smaller states like New Hampshire, New Mexico and Nevada for cautionary reasons.
While it looks promising on paper, it is doubly difficult to do considering that Hillary Clinton's presence looms large across most of those regions.
For Trump to make his way into Washington, he needs to follow Mitt Romney's lead back in 2012 wherein the then candidate was able to win in Obama's strongholds of Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Iowa and Nevada.
If the Republican Presidential Candidate will be able to mount a strong following in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, then Trump can break Clinton's perceived dominance along the working class lines. Locking in Florida and Ohio provides cushion in the event of losses in other states.
If the black voter turnout drops, Trump will get a boost considering that the minority population in Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Georgia are typical Democrat supporters.
Trump's Campaign Manager Kellyanne Conway says that the prospects for a Republican victory are bright. She adds that key personnel and related assets have been rotated to provide a boost to the election trail.
